Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.247833 3.804052 4.396587 5.071674 5.816358 6.609698 7.515691
2024-10-20 2.443514 3.204974 4.077553 5.137959 6.378278 7.770149 9.436919
2024-10-27 1.814925 2.664330 3.708476 5.054105 6.709954 8.649974 11.062845
2024-11-03 1.451723 2.365202 3.560967 5.180964 7.258674 9.776947 13.000930
2024-11-10 1.165495 2.104691 3.410368 5.261995 7.725028 10.798252 14.828899
2024-11-17 0.890710 1.800769 3.149430 5.152876 7.914958 11.458135 16.211178
2024-11-24 0.673126 1.534127 2.896395 5.014085 8.034189 12.008560 17.449812
2024-12-01 0.526465 1.349249 2.734046 4.976961 8.271906 12.703744 18.876157
2024-12-08 0.405422 1.178808 2.566545 4.907766 8.446909 13.306464 20.183252
2024-12-15 0.354836 1.133641 2.597171 5.137312 9.052446 14.502823 22.297077
2024-12-22 0.286127 1.030908 2.512641 5.173009 9.367575 15.300298 23.886372
2024-12-29 0.258144 1.013923 2.578338 5.452066 10.051539 16.624616 26.211225
2025-01-05 0.223762 0.974292 2.600914 5.666999 10.656817 17.869238 28.477260
2025-01-12 0.182782 0.903912 2.554790 5.760767 11.077817 18.861698 30.417792
2025-01-19 0.135719 0.795750 2.416131 5.680416 11.218697 19.449782 31.804720
2025-01-26 0.112431 0.751964 2.405030 5.823222 11.715312 20.563669 33.944940
2025-02-02 0.090164 0.700348 2.368354 5.913663 12.126077 21.555305 35.924002
2025-02-09 0.062844 0.609922 2.227624 5.796382 12.187447 22.023784 37.161531
2025-02-16 0.041267 0.523200 2.077979 5.646153 12.181863 22.384754 38.244045
2025-02-23 0.028354 0.465507 1.989295 5.606068 12.356340 23.017876 39.725204
2025-03-02 0.018148 0.407978 1.888518 5.530959 12.463542 23.545390 41.055992
2025-03-09 0.015603 0.405650 1.942526 5.780513 13.144199 24.972837 43.726226
2025-03-16 0.010646 0.372092 1.899085 5.819318 13.451985 25.821799 45.552183